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DAVID BIANCO: This Chart Represents The Whole Debate About The Stock Market

Oct 20, 2013, 18:46 IST

The S&P 500 closed at an all-time high on Friday, leaving investors wondering when the market heads from here.

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Business Insider recently asked David Bianco for what he considered to be the most important chart in the world.

"Normally in the middle of an economic cycle, investment spending is 2 to 3 times GDP growth," said Bianco, Deutsche Bank's Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. "Strong investment spending is what drives S&P 500 sales and non-financial profits. The whole debate about the S&P is about when this turns back up again."

Capital expenditure growth over the last 12 months has averaged an unusually low 3.5% over the last 12 months.

"1967 and 1985-87 are two periods that saw similar mid-cycle capex slowdown," said Bianco. "But, the economic cycle proved to be long lasting and capex growth eventually accelerated."

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The next update on capex will come on Friday when the Census Bureau publishes its September durable goods orders report.

Business Insider / Deutsche Bank

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