China just did the one thing everyone knows dumb governments do when there's a crisis: ban shorts
Short-sellers borrow stocks and immediately sell them off, reasoning they can buy them back at a lower price in the future and pocket the difference.
But their negative bets put downward pressure on stock prices.
The US, along with most of the world, tried a short ban in 2008, when the stock market was melting down. Europe followed with a short ban on some credit derivatives and bank shares as its sovereign debt crisis exploded in 2010 and 2011.
And now it's China's turn to halt short-selling as its share indices plunge. The country unveiled rules that make it harder for speculators to profit from hourly price changes, as some of the nation's major brokerages suspended their short-selling businesses.
Studies of these bans show that although they can inflate some prices briefly, they can't hold up the whole market.
Here's a chart from the New York Fed showing what happened in 2008:
Policymakers often regard short-sellers as malicious because they profit from a market downturn while the buy-and-hold crowd lose out, so they try to get rid of them.
But banning them can damage investor confidence in the market (because it becomes harder to tell what a stock is really worth), reduce liquidity and push up trading costs, encouraging people to get out while they still can.
Here's a graph from a 2011 academic paper that shows the difference in bid-offer spreads between Australian stocks that had a short selling ban imposed, and the same stocks in Canada, that didn't have a ban.
The measure is used to calculate how easy it is for buyers and sellers to interact in a market. The higher it is, the harder it is to trade, and the less liquid the market. The blue line represents the stocks with the ban in place, and it stays higher even after the ban is lifted.
