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Both the EU and China are to blame for the fate and destruction of Britain's steel industry

Mar 31, 2016, 13:25 IST

An employee works at the Changning steel and iron factory in Changzhi, Shanxi province.Reuters

Britain's steel industry is on the brink of collapse and a lot of people are blaming China for its glut of production which has pushed down prices and made it impossible for UK companies to do business.

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But it's not just China you have to blame for the demise of Britain's steel industry - it is also Europe.

Both are simultaneously helping kill it off.

The reason why the UK steel industry is failing right now, while Britain is part of the EU, is two-pronged:

1. Steel prices in Europe - the place Britain is exposed to the most for prices - are ridiculously low, making it difficult for the UK to compete.

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2. EU state aid rules mean that Britain's government can do very little to help out the nation's steel companies - EU law means there are strict safeguards in place preventing parliament from bailing out the companies.

So firstly, let's take a look at steel prices in Europe.

Steel prices have fallen to their lowest levels in 12 years and a range of British companies are struggling to survive. This is because prices in Europe and Asia are so low, Britain can't compete. It's just cheaper to import steel because it's too costly to produce it in the UK.

Look at how low prices are compared to March 2012:

Quandl

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On the flipside, falling global demand and a strong pound makes steel exports more expensive. Simply put, Britain is in the worst spot right now.

The 98-year-old Redcar steelworks in the North East closed down at the expense of 2,200 jobs in October and Tata Steel is putting up its entire UK business up for sale. Meanwhile, parts of Caparo Industries' steel operations is in administration and 1,800 people are set to lose their jobs. It's a bloodbath.

Now everyone wants to blame China, but it is too simple to solely blame the nation for steel's woes. However this is what analysts and politicians are saying.

Rakesh Arora, an analyst at Macquarie, told the Financial Times on Thursday that producing steel in the UK "makes no sense actually."

The FT reported:

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Steel's labour costs there [the UK] at about $200 per tonne of production, compared with as little as $10 for its Chinese peers. "That gap was too difficult to bridge with the best of operating efficiencies," Arora said.

Considering prices are around £285 per tonne for steel, according to pricing agency Platts, you can see how Chinese steel companies can remain so profitable and British companies struggle to make ends meet. In fact, Britain's biggest steelworks Port Talbot is said to be losing around £1 million per day.

It's pretty horrific out there.

Reuters/BI

China produces half the world's steel and has ramped up production massively over the last 30 years. Take a look at the chart.

China used to only mainly export its steel to other Asian countries but as its economy began slowing down, it started to place - or dump - lots of its cheap steel on the overseas market which pushes down prices.

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"We have had a succession of ministers, and now the prime minister, saying that they will 'raise' the issue of Chinese steel dumping, which we know is impacting on the UK steel industry and the global steel price," said Roy Rickhuss, General Secretary of the steelworkers' trade union Community, in October 2015.

"The prime minister needs to do more than 'raise' the issue. He needs to tell the Chinese premier what action he's going to take to stop Chinese steel damaging the future of a vital foundation industry in the UK."

China's crude steel production over the last decade has exploded, bringing hundreds of millions of tonnes more per year to the market.

"It is clear that the steel industry has, for the time being, reached the end of a major growth cycle which was based on the rapid economic development of China," Hans Jürgen Kerkhoff, Chairman of the Worldsteel Economics Committee, said back in October.

"Combined with China's slowdown we also face low investment, financial market turbulence, and geopolitical conflicts in many developing regions. The steel industry is now experiencing low-growth which will last for the time it takes for other developing regions of sufficient size and strength to produce another major growth cycle."

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But this is where it gets a bit sticky.

The Worldsteel Economics Committee forecasts extremely modest growth in steel demand in 2016.

World Steel Association

Low demand means exporting is difficult. This is on top of lower Asian and European steel prices remaining low.

Take a look at how the UK steel industry is made up:

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EEF

In tandem, Britain's dependence on Europe, not China, for imports means the UK is more exposed to lower European prices:

In other words, it would be illegal for Britain to bail out steel companies like it did with the banks. In fact, this statement was taken from the results of an investigation into how "€211 million funding granted by the Walloon authorities in Belgium to several steel companies within the Duferco group between 2006 and 2011 distorted competition in breach of EU state aid rules."

"Despite the illegal state aid to Duferco the company has now withdrawn almost all business activities from Belgium. The case shows that state aid to artificially keep steel manufacturers afloat that are not viable seriously distorts competition and only delays their exit from the market at the cost of taxpayers," added Vestager.

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So the British government's hands are tied.

If Britain left the EU, the government could nationalise the steel industry or pump cash into the ailing industry.

But you've got to ask yourself whether that is the right thing to do. After all, it's not really viable considering Port Talbot alone haemorrhages over £1 million per day. It's loss making .

Basically, Britain is in the worst spot of them all and right now companies are finding it exceptionally difficult to produce or export steel in order to make any money. British steel companies also don't really have the support of the government like German or French companies do to keep rates low.

So really, the UK is better off just closing everything down - and the EU has to take some responsibility in this, not just China.

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