Strategy
What may come as a blow for PM Narendra Modi’s ‘Skill India’ initiative, as per a US-based research firm, India's IT services industry will lose 6.4 lakh "low-skilled" jobs to automation in the next five years.According to HfS Research, by 2021, IT industry in India and overseas will lose 9% headcount, or about 1.4 million jobs.
The HfS report states "low-skilled" jobs will fall by 30%. However, the report said the "medium-skilled" jobs will increase by 8% and high-skilled jobs will rise by 56%.
"The BPO industry is going to be facing the problem of robotic process
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Low-skills are defined as those that follow a set process and are repetitive and do not require much in the way of educational qualifications.
Medium skills are those that require some amount of human judgement in the process, dealing with more challenging problems.
"We've already precisely pinpointed that 30% of routine, low-value positions are being phased out through automation over the next five years, far outweighing the expected new jobs being created in the medium-high skills areas," said Phil Fersht, CEO of HfS Research.
The HfS report is based on a survey of 1477 industry stakeholders.
However, NASSCOM, the National Association of Software and Services Companies, said the research may not have taken into account all the jobs being created by newer technologies.
"Nobody's really seen what automation and robotics will really lead to. There will be some impact of automation but overall we believe that technology adoption will actually lead to more job creation across sectors," Sangeeta Gupta, senior vice president at Nasscom, told ET, adding “focus on talent increasingly has to be on skill and not scale. Jobs will exist in other places also, it's not fair to say these many jobs will get eliminated."
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