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As the stock market gets rocked, let's remember this one thing about the crash of 1987

As the stock market gets rocked, let's remember this one thing about the crash of 1987
Stock Market1 min read

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UBS

UBS's Julian Emanuel highlighted this in a July note to clients.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged a shocking 508 points - or about 22.6% - back on October 19, 1987.

But as scary as that drop was, US economic growth was resilient, and gross-domestic-product growth never went negative.

This little anecdote about the 1987 crash is important to remember in light of this week's hemorrhaging stock market.

The big takeaway here is: although a huge sell-off could slow the economy and potentially lead it into a recession, it does not necessarily mean that it'll turn into a global financial crisis.

In fact, analysts have previously suggested that stock-market crashes typically lead to less severe recessions than something like, for example, a housing crash or a credit crisis.

Notably, Lombard Street Research's Dario Perkins compared the effect on GDP from both the dotcom crash and the subprime-mortgage crisis, showing that GDP continued to rise during the former, as it didn't affect housing prices.

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Lombard Street Research

Stock-market crashes are scary and come with pain. But there are scarier things out there if you're thinking about risks to the economy.

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