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Americans might be paying their debts backward

Aug 25, 2024, 21:49 IST
John Moore/Getty ImagesFaced with a difficult choice between making a mortgage or a car payment, one might think the mortgage would come first.

But consumers with multiple loans are actually prioritizing auto loans - and even smaller loans - ahead of their homes, according to a new study.

A TransUnion study showed that unsecured personal loans - unsecured meaning there is no collateral for the borrower to lose if he or she fails to pay - have lower delinquency rates than auto loans, mortgages, and credit-card debt for consumers who have all four types of loans. The study encompassed roughly 2 million consumers with this credit profile.

The research contrasts with conventional wisdom, which suggests that borrowers are more likely to prioritize secured credit lines, so as not to risk losing a house or a car. Research from UBS suggests that stressed households are likely to default on credit-card debt first, ahead of a car loan or a student loan, for example.

So why would someone choose to pay an unsecured loan over their mortgage or car payment?

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"We conjecture that personal loan borrowers may feel they can get a quick win with these loans even when they are struggling, and there is a clear, near-term end to the obligation - a 'light at the end of the tunnel,' in a sense," said Ezra Becker, the senior vice president and head of research for TransUnion's financial-services business unit.

The average term lengths are much shorter for unsecured personal loans, according to TransUnion data. Personal loans taken out in the last quarter of 2016 had a term of 28 months on average. Compared with terms for auto loans and mortgages - 60 months and 230 months, respectively - personal loans offer the quickest route to eliminating a loan from their balance sheet.

The study also showed a steady rise in personal loan delinquency rates - 1.49% in the fourth quarter of 2016, up from 1.10% in 2012 - but there may be a silver lining there. Rising delinquency rates can actually be a good sign for the economy. As personal loan lenders expand their customer base to include people with lower credit ratings, it's natural for the delinquency rates to rise. It's a sign of capital being more accessible to more people.

For these consumers with all four types of credit debt, auto loans had the second-lowest delinquency rate, with mortgages in third and credit cards in fourth. That is consistent with the overall trends from past TransUnion consumer studies since 2004.

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