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A Frustrating Trend In The Stock Market Continues To Break The Bears' Hearts

Jan 22, 2013, 23:55 IST

Stock prices are going up as earnings expectations are going down. And earnings expectations are arguably the most important drivers of stocks.

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In technical terms, strategists will call this multiples expansion. In other words, valuations are rising as reflected by an increasing price-earnings ratio.

And this divergence between stocks and earnings expectations has only gotten wider since we last wrote about it a month ago,

"Since the end of the fourth quarter (December 31), analysts have also reduced earnings growth expectations for Q1 2013 (to 2.2% from 2.5%) and Q2 2013 (to 6.7% from 6.8%)," writes FactSet's John Butters.

Here's a chart from FactSet showing stocks rising and earnings expectations falling.

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FactSet

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