#1 San Francisco Giants (39-21)
Previous Ranking: 3
Expected Wins*: 34.9
PECOTA Projected Wins: 93
Playoff Odds: 95.9%
PECOTA Projected Wins and Playoff Odds via BaseballProspectus.com
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#2 Oakland A's (37-23)
Previous Ranking: 1
Expected Wins*: 42.7
PECOTA Projected Wins: 90
Playoff Odds: 93.0%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#3 Toronto Blue Jays (37-24)
Previous Ranking: 8
Expected Wins*: 33.3
PECOTA Projected Wins: 89
Playoff Odds: 78.2%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#4 Detroit Tigers (31-25)
Previous Ranking: 2
Expected Wins*: 29.1
PECOTA Projected Wins: 89
Playoff Odds: 79.0%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#5 Milwaukee Brewers (36-25)
Previous Ranking: 9
Expected Wins*: 32.1
PECOTA Projected Wins: 85
Playoff Odds: 66.1%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#6 Washington Nationals (30-28)
Previous Ranking: 10
Expected Wins*: 31.8
PECOTA Projected Wins: 87
Playoff Odds: 66.9%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#7 Los Angeles Angels (31-28)
Previous Ranking: 4
Expected Wins*: 35.8
PECOTA Projected Wins: 87
Playoff Odds: 68.8%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#8 Los Angeles Dodgers (31-30)
Previous Ranking: 6
Expected Wins*: 30.7
PECOTA Projected Wins: 93
Playoff Odds: 76.5%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#9 Atlanta Braves (31-27)
Previous Ranking: 7
Expected Wins*: 30.9
PECOTA Projected Wins: 84
Playoff Odds: 55.3%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#10 St. Louis Cardinals (31-30)
Previous Ranking: 5
Expected Wins*: 33.7
PECOTA Projected Wins: 86
Playoff Odds: 57.0%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#11 Seattle Mariners (31-28)
Previous Ranking: 16
Expected Wins*: 31.2
PECOTA Projected Wins: 82
Playoff Odds: 30.3%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#12 Baltimore Orioles (30-28)
Previous Ranking: 15
Expected Wins*: 27.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 83
Playoff Odds: 31.3%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#13 New York Yankees (30-29)
Previous Ranking: 12
Expected Wins*: 26.1
PECOTA Projected Wins: 84
Playoff Odds: 27.6%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#14 Cleveland Indians (30-30)
Previous Ranking: 17
Expected Wins*: 29.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 80
Playoff Odds: 24.2%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#15 Boston Red Sox (27-32)
Previous Ranking: 19
Expected Wins*: 28.1
PECOTA Projected Wins: 82
Playoff Odds: 19.1%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#16 Chicago White Sox (31-30)
Previous Ranking: 18
Expected Wins*: 27.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 77
Playoff Odds: 13.2%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#17 Miami Marlins (32-28)
Previous Ranking: 23
Expected Wins*: 31.0
PECOTA Projected Wins: 74
Playoff Odds: 15.7%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#18 Pittsburgh Pirates (28-31)
Previous Ranking: 26
Expected Wins*: 28.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 79
Playoff Odds: 17.7%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#19 Texas Rangers (30-30)
Previous Ranking: 24
Expected Wins*: 26.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 79
Playoff Odds: 12.9%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#20 Minnesota Twins (28-30)
Previous Ranking: 14
Expected Wins*: 27.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 75
Playoff Odds: 9.2%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#21 Kansas City Royals (29-31)
Previous Ranking: 13
Expected Wins*: 25.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 77
Playoff Odds: 9.1%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#22 Cincinnati Reds (27-31)
Previous Ranking: 20
Expected Wins*: 28.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 77
Playoff Odds: 13.7%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#23 Colorado Rockies (28-31)
Previous Ranking: 11
Expected Wins*: 30.3
PECOTA Projected Wins: 78
Playoff Odds: 10.7%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#24 New York Mets (28-32)
Previous Ranking: 27
Expected Wins*: 27.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 75
Playoff Odds: 7.9%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#25 San Diego Padres (27-33)
Previous Ranking: 25
Expected Wins*: 24.2
PECOTA Projected Wins: 81
Playoff Odds: 9.6%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#26 Arizona Diamondbacks (26-36)
Previous Ranking: 29
Expected Wins*: 28.0
PECOTA Projected Wins: 74
Playoff Odds: 2.9%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#27 Tampa Bay Rays (23-38)
Previous Ranking: 22
Expected Wins*: 28.8
PECOTA Projected Wins: 77
Playoff Odds: 3.3%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#28 Chicago Cubs (23-34)
Previous Ranking: 28
Expected Wins*: 28.2
PECOTA Projected Wins: 71
Playoff Odds: 2.1%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#29 Houston Astros (26-35)
Previous Ranking: 30
Expected Wins*: 29.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 69
Playoff Odds: 0.8%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#30 Philadelphia Phillies (24-34)
Previous Ranking: 21
Expected Wins*: 23.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 73
Playoff Odds: 2.0%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.