#1 Los Angeles Dodgers (17-12)
Previous Ranking: 1
Expected Wins*: 16.0
PECOTA Projected Wins: 96
Playoff Odds: 87.5%
PECOTA Projected Wins and Playoff Odds via BaseballProspectus.com
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#2 Oakland A's (18-10)
Previous Ranking: 5
Expected Wins*: 19.3
PECOTA Projected Wins: 87
Playoff Odds: 67.8%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#3 Washington Nationals (16-12)
Previous Ranking: 4
Expected Wins*: 16.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 90
Playoff Odds: 72.4%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#4 Milwaukee Brewers (20-9)
Previous Ranking: 12
Expected Wins*: 16.6
PECOTA Projected Wins: 86
Playoff Odds: 63.4%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip Ad#5 Detroit Tigers (14-9)
Previous Ranking: 8
Expected Wins*: 12.6
PECOTA Projected Wins: 90
Playoff Odds: 79.0%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#6 Los Angeles Angels (14-13)
Previous Ranking: 6
Expected Wins*: 17.0
PECOTA Projected Wins: 87
Playoff Odds: 60.5%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#7 St. Louis Cardinals (15-14)
Previous Ranking: 2
Expected Wins*: 16.7
PECOTA Projected Wins: 86
Playoff Odds: 53.3%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#8 Atlanta Braves (17-10)
Previous Ranking: 11
Expected Wins*: 17.2
PECOTA Projected Wins: 85
Playoff Odds: 55.0%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#9 San Francisco Giants (12-14)
Previous Ranking: 3
Expected Wins*: 14.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 85
Playoff Odds: 67.5%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip Ad#10 New York Yankees (15-12)
Previous Ranking: 10
Expected Wins*: 12.0
PECOTA Projected Wins: 86
Playoff Odds: 53.9%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#11 Tampa Bay Rays (13-16)
Previous Ranking: 9
Expected Wins*: 15.2
PECOTA Projected Wins: 86
Playoff Odds: 42.9%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#12 Colorado Rockies (17-13)
Previous Ranking: 20
Expected Wins*: 16.9
PECOTA Projected Wins: 80
Playoff Odds: 22.5%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#13 Boston Red Sox (13-16)
Previous Ranking: 7
Expected Wins*: 13.6
PECOTA Projected Wins: 86
Playoff Odds: 39.6%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#14 Texas Rangers (15-13)
Previous Ranking: 14
Expected Wins*: 12.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 82
Playoff Odds: 34.1%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip Ad#15 Seattle Mariners (17-11)
Previous Ranking: 15
Expected Wins*: 12.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 85
Playoff Odds: 24.7%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#16 Kansas City Royals (14-13)
Previous Ranking: 19
Expected Wins*: 12.3
PECOTA Projected Wins: 80
Playoff Odds: 24.0%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#17 Cincinnati Reds (13-15)
Previous Ranking: 16
Expected Wins*: 15.8
PECOTA Projected Wins: 80
Playoff Odds: 22.4%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#18 Toronto Blue Jays (13-15)
Previous Ranking: 13
Expected Wins*: 13.0
PECOTA Projected Wins: 81
Playoff Odds: 22.9%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#19 New York Mets (15-12)
Previous Ranking: 25
Expected Wins*: 11.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 77
Playoff Odds: 14.2%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip Ad#20 Chicago White Sox (14-15)
Previous Ranking: 23
Expected Wins*: 14.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 76
Playoff Odds: 13.7%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#21 Miami Marlins (14-14)
Previous Ranking: 29
Expected Wins*: 17.1
PECOTA Projected Wins: 73
Playoff Odds: 5.8%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#22 Baltimore Orioles (14-12)
Previous Ranking: 22
Expected Wins*: 10.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 78
Playoff Odds: 16.5%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#23 Philadelphia Phillies (13-13)
Previous Ranking: 24
Expected Wins*: 11.3
PECOTA Projected Wins: 79
Playoff Odds: 15.8%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#24 San Diego Padres (13-16)
Previous Ranking: 17
Expected Wins*: 11.3
PECOTA Projected Wins: 78
Playoff Odds: 9.7%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip Ad#25 Cleveland Indians (11-17)
Previous Ranking: 21
Expected Wins*: 12.0
PECOTA Projected Wins: 76
Playoff Odds: 11.9%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#26 Pittsburgh Pirates (10-18)
Previous Ranking: 18
Expected Wins*: 12.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 76
Playoff Odds: 7.6%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#27 Minnesota Twins (12-14)
Previous Ranking: 26
Expected Wins*: 12.2
PECOTA Projected Wins: 73
Playoff Odds: 8.1%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#28 Chicago Cubs (9-17)
Previous Ranking: 28
Expected Wins*: 11.5
PECOTA Projected Wins: 71
Playoff Odds: 2.0%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
#29 Arizona Diamondbacks (9-22)
Previous Ranking: 27
Expected Wins*: 11.6
PECOTA Projected Wins: 71
Playoff Odds: 0.9%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip Ad#30 Houston Astros (9-19)
Previous Ranking: 30
Expected Wins*: 9.4
PECOTA Projected Wins: 65
Playoff Odds: 0.2%
* Expected Wins (AKA Pythagorean Record) is the record a team would be expected to have at this point in the season based on how many runs they have scored and allowed and adjusted for strength of schedule.
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