Here's everything going that's relatively bad today.
Here's everything that's relatively good.
Spending cuts are holding back the economy.
The government is also holding back the labor market.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip AdHowever, deficit levels are falling fast.
America's balance sheets are looking a lot firmer.
The rebound in the housing and stock markets have made people richer.
Long-term stock market returns have been rising sharply, but the levels are still modest.
Most of the bubble warning signs of the past haven't appeared yet.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip AdThe bull market isn't that old.
Higher long-term interest rates suggest the economy and markets will be in good shape for a while.
Here's a look at what rising rates have meant for the markets and the economy.
The stock market is cheap relative to expected earnings growth.
Low, but moderate inflation means valuations can go much higher.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip AdBut for now valuations are low and cheap.
Investors have yet to make there move back into stocks from bonds.
Indeed, investors may be a little too exposed to bonds.
Pension funds have are among the biggest investors that have been dumping bonds for stocks.
Endowments is another big investor class with low exposure to stocks.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip AdIt's worth noting that investors are very optimistic, which is actually a bad sign for future returns.
But you could also argue that investors are quite skeptical.
The folks who have been wrong about markets are feeling the most confident today.
Here's the psychology behind a stock market cycle.
next slide will load in 15 secondsSkip AdSkip AdBut here are some anecdotes that will dispute Sonders' thesis...