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10 things you need to know before the opening bell

Jonathan Garber   

10 things you need to know before the opening bell

4th of July parade

Reuters/Mike Segar

A boy throws candies from a vintage car as he rides on Main Street in the annual Fourth of July parade in Barnstable Village on Cape Cod, Massachusetts.

Here is what you need to know.

Trump's trade war could take a big bite out of global trade. President Donald Trump's proposed trade war could cost the global economy $800 billion, or 4% of global trade, according to Oxford Economics.

The EU is reportedly plotting a major international effort to defuse Trump's trade war. The European Union is reportedly keen on holding talks with major automakers about a coordinated effort to cut preexisting tariffs and defusing Trump's trade war before it escalates further, the Financial Times says.

A harbinger of trade is flashing a warning signal for the global economy. Hong Kong's Nikkei-IHS Markit PMI fell to 47.7 in June, its weakest in nearly two years.

Iran asks Trump to stop tweeting about oil - because it's driving up prices. "Please stop it, otherwise it will go even higher!" Iran's OPEC Governor Hossein Kazempour Ardebili said in a statement, according to the country's Shana news agency.

Elon Musk ordered Tesla engineers to stop doing a critical brake test on Model 3s. Internal documents seen by Business Insider's Linette Lopez show Tesla CEO Elon Musk ordered his employees to stop putting nearly finished Model 3s through a critical brake-and-roll test before leaving the company's factory in Fremont, California.

The chairman of one of China's largest conglomerates has died in an accident. Wang Jian, chairman of the debt-ridden Chinese conglomerate HNA, died in a fall during a business trip to France. He was 57 years old.

Jaguar warns on a "bad Brexit." Jaguar Land Rover CEO Ralf Speth told the Financial Times that a "bad Brexit" would threaten 40,000 UK jobs and £80 billion ($106 billion) of investment.

JPMorgan released its 3rd-quarter guide to the markets. Trade wars and the belief that the US economy is nearing the end of its economic cycle have put a damper on economic sentiment, the bank warns.

Stock markets around the world trade mixed. China's Shanghai Composite (-0.91%) paced the losses in Asia and Germany's DAX (+1.2%) leads in Europe. The S&P 500 is set to open up 0.56% near 2,728.

US economic data is heavy. ADP Employment Change will be released at 8:15 a.m.ET and initial claims cross the wires at 8:30 a.m. ET. Data continues with Markit US Services PMI at 9:45 a.m. ET and ISM Nonmanufacturing at 10 a.m. ET. The latest Fed minutes are due out at 2 p.m. ET. The US 10-year yield is up 3 basis points at 2.86%.

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