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<ul class="summary-list"><li>Business Insider is seeking nominations for its 2024 Oracles of Wall Street list.</li><li>The list highlights top forecasters in finance and economics who made accurate market predictions.</li></ul>A 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The S&amp;P 500 rallying 20%. Shares of Nvidia soaring over 180%. Inflation returning to pre-pandemic levels.Did you or someone you know on Wall Street predict these and other significant developments in 2024? We'd like to hear from you.Business Insider is seeking nominations for its 2024 Oracles of Wall Street list, which highlights the top forecasters among economists, strategists, and analysts this year.<h2 id="86451aa1-1085-48f3-9e45-42b621a23b74"><a target="_blank" href="https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfu9VdooXwk-dGXU3oOlqPUr63-fje76kQLRiUHYCYSNaB7cQ/viewform?usp=sf_link">Nominations can be made through this form.</a></h2>Nominees can be financial professionals from firms of any size. Their calls from this year or last must be verifiable through published documents or media coverage.The types of calls we're looking for include those that made a correct assertion about something in financial markets or the macroeconomic picture. A few examples are listed above. Forecasts that made last year's list can also be found <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/top-forecasts-predictions-for-2024-wall-street-oracles-2023-12">here</a>.The deadline for <a target="_blank" href="https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfu9VdooXwk-dGXU3oOlqPUr63-fje76kQLRiUHYCYSNaB7cQ/viewform?usp=sf_link">submissions</a> is end-of-day on Tuesday, November 19, 2024. Please direct any questions to William Edwards at <a target="_blank" href="mailto:wedwards@businessinsider.com">wedwards@businessinsider.com</a>.

The most accurate forecasts of 2024: Seeking nominations for Business Insider's Oracles of Wall Street list

<ul class="summary-list"><li>On Thursday, China unveiled new measures to prop up its struggling property market.</li><li>The measures include quicker credit for developers and support for renovations in urban shantytowns.</li></ul>China officials have directed a wave of stimulus measures at the country's beleaguered property market, but the effort hasn't done much to impress Wall Street experts. On Thursday, China unveiled <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-3q-gdp-growth-stock-market-stimulus-2024-10#:~:text=In%20September%2C%20China's%20new%20home,estate%20market%20remains%20%22elusive.%22">new measures</a> to prop up its flailing housing market, including quicker access to credit for developers and renovations in run-down urban areas.The government's "white list" of unfinished housing projects eligible for government financing will now receive more funds to encourage banks to increase lending to those projects, the Ministry of Housing said in a press conference.The funds will amount to 4 trillion yuan ($550 billion) by the end of the year, almost double the current quota of 2.2 trillion yuan.The Housing Ministry also unveiled plans to update the country's run-down downtown areas, or "urban villages," with a million apartment renovations planned.While the efforts appear to be a big swing attempt by Beijing to remedy an issue at the heart of its economic crisis, analysts on Wall Street have been underwhelmed. Experts from Goldman Sachs, BCA Research, and AXA Investment Managers this week struck a pessimistic tone on the potential for the new policies to revive China's property sector. Goldman Sachs analysts said the measures may slightly help real estate financing, home completions, home transactions, and prices in large cities, but they won't be enough to combat the market's structural issues."Given many structural challenges in the property sector and still-limited policy support for housing destocking, we maintain our view that there appears no quick fix for the nationwide property sector," Goldman Sachs said in a Friday note.Analysts from BCA Research echoed that view, saying the plan's details were "underwhelming."They pointed in particular to the latest aims at the country's "white list" project loans, which they say haven't been successful so far amid a fragmented property market and banks' hesitation to lend to risky projects.They also said the apartment renovation plan lacks detail and mirrors a similar program introduced in 2015, which aimed to renovate 6 million units annually for several years. The latest plan, though, provides no clear timeline.The analysts also warned the country's flailing economy could even lead to a global recession."While a step in the right direction, these stimulus measures are so far falling short of the scope and scale needed to reflate the Chinese economy. The stimulus announced should put a floor on activity sometime in 2025, but we expect it will be too little, too late to prevent a global recession," the analysts said in a Friday note.Thursday's new policies helped fuel a rally in the CSI 300 index, which climbed 3.6% on Friday. But Yingrui Wang, China economist at AXA Investment Managers, says that optimism could be short-lived as the housing stimulus lacks detail."The recent monetary easing measures initially boosted sentiment in the equity market, and today's launch of the PBoC's stock buy-back re-lending facility has fuelled renewed momentum. However, delays and a lack of detail in fiscal policy may soon temper this optimism," Wang said in a Friday note.The market rally was also helped by new growth figures, which show the economy expanded 4.6% in the third quarter, compared with the same period last year. That marks a slight slowdown from the 4.7% growth in the second quarter, but narrowly beat forecasts of 4.5% growth.The latest figure brings year-to-date growth to 4.8% — just shy of the country's annual target of "around 5%."Wang says the most recent numbers make China's growth target more likely. Up until the country's initial stimulus push, first announced at the end of last month, Wang predicted Beijing's goal looked <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-growth-targets-axa-investment-property-sector-industrial-production-2024-9">increasingly lofty</a>.

China's attempts to save its flailing housing market haven't boosted confidence among top Wall Street analysts

The government has officially announced October 1, 2024, as the starting date for <keyword id="23245808" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="Vivad-Se-Vishwas-2-0" source="keywords">Vivad Se Vishwas 2.0</keyword>, the direct tax dispute resolution scheme. If you're involved in a tax dispute, this scheme might be your chance to resolve it efficiently. Originally introduced during the 2024-25 Union Budget, the scheme is designed to handle <keyword id="22518437" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="income-tax-disputes" source="keywords">income tax disputes</keyword> that are currently tied up in appeals. Confirming the news, the <keyword id="19900485" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Finance-Ministry" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Finance Ministry" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Finance Ministry">finance ministry</keyword> said in its notification: "The central government hereby appoints the 1st day of October, 2024 as the date on which the Direct Tax Vivad Se Vishwas Scheme, 2024 shall come into force." <h2>The scope of the disputes</h2>To give you an idea of the scale, about 2.7 crore direct tax demands are currently being contested, amounting to a staggering Rs 35 lakh crore. These disputes are scattered across various legal forums, and Vivad Se Vishwas 2.0 aims to help clear this backlog. <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="113444994" title="In the long run, rate cut by Fed will be favourable for most US banks: Moody&amp;#39;s" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div>In her Budget speech, <keyword id="19912360" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Finance-Minister-Nirmala-Sitharaman" source="keywords">Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman</keyword> highlighted the government’s dedication to simplifying taxes and minimising litigation. She said, "The government will continue its efforts to simplify taxes, improve <keyword id="20404572" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="taxpayer-services" source="keywords">taxpayer services</keyword>, provide tax certainty and reduce litigation while enhancing revenues." <h2>Who can avail the scheme?</h2>If you have any pending disputes or appeals, including writs and special leave petitions, whether filed by you or the tax authorities, as of July 22, 2024, you are eligible to take advantage of this scheme. The list of eligible cases includes those pending before the Supreme Court, high courts, Income Tax Appellate Tribunal, and Commissioner/Joint Commissioner (Appeals). It also covers cases before the Dispute Resolution Panel (DRP) and revision petitions awaiting a decision from the Commissioner of Income Tax. <div type="Article" hostid="261" msid="113417255" title="Individuals earning over Rs 10 cr rise by 63% in India; financial assets of high net worth individuals to nearly double by 2028" mstype="2" mssubtype="0"></div>However, the window to decide whether or not to participate in the scheme is limited. As Karishma R. Phatarphekar, Partner at <keyword id="20006170" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Deloitte-India" source="keywords" meta.keywordsubtype="org" meta.entityname="Deloitte India" meta.hostid="261" meta.entityid="Deloitte India">Deloitte India</keyword>, said: "Given the limited time window, an informed decision on opting for the scheme should be made promptly." The rules and forms for the scheme are expected to be published "imminently in the coming week." <h2>Success of the original Vivad Se Vishwas</h2>For those who are wondering about the potential impact, the first Vivad Se Vishwas scheme, introduced in 2020, resolved a significant number of cases. More than 1 lakh taxpayers participated, and the government collected about Rs 75,000 crore in taxes. With this track record, the expectations from Vivad Se Vishwas 2.0 are high. With October 1 just around the corner, now is the time to prepare if you are considering resolving your tax dispute through Vivad Se Vishwas 2.0. As the rules and forms are expected shortly, it’s wise to consult your <keyword id="23245810" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="tax-advisor" source="keywords">tax advisor</keyword> and make a decision soon. This scheme could provide the relief you’ve been waiting for while contributing to a more efficient tax system for all. (With inputs from PTI)

New Vivad Se Vishwas 2.0 tax resolution scheme to start on Oct 1 — what you need to know

<ul class="summary-list"><li>China is expected to announce extra fiscal policy support on Saturday.</li><li>Analysts expect $283 billion worth of stimulus to be pledged, Bloomberg reported.</li></ul>Financial markets in China are waiting for Beijing to finally provide fiscal stimulus at a scheduled announcement on Saturday, the key ingredient missing in its latest push to shore up China's economy.Finance Minister Lan Fo'an is set to announce a fresh consumer-focused boost this weekend — or at least that's what investors hope will happen.According to a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-10/china-investors-expect-283-billion-of-new-stimulus-this-weekend">Bloomberg</a> survey, most analysts expect authorities to pledge $283 billion of fiscal stimulus at Saturday's highly anticipated press conference. Expected measures could include consumption vouchers, improved social safety nets, and subsidies on specific products.Analysts have long agreed that China's stubbornly low domestic demand is the crux of the country's economic problems, and many <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-stimulus-stock-market-consumer-deflation-outlook-real-estate-2024-9">were disappointed to see measures</a> in Beijing's latest stimulus package fail to address the issue. Some commentators suggest this is partly due to the leadership's ideology, which seems to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/paul-krugman-china-economy-xi-jinping-stimulus-republican-communist-recovery-2023-9">disapprove of welfare and direct consumer aid</a>.In its latest stimulus package unveiled in late September, the country instead delivered interest rate cuts, a lower reserve ratio requirement for banks, a stock stabilization fund, and mortgage support in the housing sector.The September 24 announcement surprised global investors, sending Chinese stocks on a roller coaster rally. The <a target="_blank" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/csi-300">CSI 300 Index</a> roared up 27%, investors saw the efforts as an inflection point in the country's recovery and expected more to come.However, momentum fizzled this week after Beijing failed to meet the market's expectations. Though China's National Development and Reform Commission announced further support policies on Tuesday, investors were disappointed by the lack of another major boost.The CSI 300 index fell over 7% the next day. <a target="_blank" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-09/china-finance-minister-to-brief-on-fiscal-policy-on-oct-12">Chinese authorities followed up by announcing </a>Saturday's press conference, which promised to introduce new measures centered on fiscal policy.It remains to be seen how far Beijing actually goes in bolstering consumers. Some analysts remain less sure about what fiscal stimulus will actually achieve on its own, pointing out that Beijing needs to pursue structural reforms to revive consumer confidence."Fiscal policy could have a role to play in tackling some of the structural imbalances, but this would be as part of a long-term re-orientation of government priorities, not a one-off package," wrote Mark Williams, Capital Economics Chief Asia Economist.For instance, that could take the form of improved healthcare and retirement policies that encourage Chinese consumers to save less, Yale economist <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-outlook-stimulus-fiscal-consumer-support-deflation-stephen-roach-2024-10">Stephen Roach previously wrote</a>.Meanwhile, one expert suggested that investors are misunderstanding China's intent in providing the stimulus boosts. According to Arthur Kroeber, founding partner of Gavekal Dragonomics, Beijing's intent isn't to accelerate the economy by enabling consumers, but simply to stabilize it."The economic aims are to stabilize growth and prevent deflation from tightening its grip," he wrote in the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.ft.com/content/008443cd-bb44-4b4f-b60e-17894fdba221">Financial Times</a>. "The market goal is to restore enough confidence so that equity prices post steady, moderate rises. This will reopen the window for new listings and enable the stock market to resume its assigned role of financing China's industrial policy ambitions."

China is trying to give investors the one major thing missing from its economic stimulus blitz 

The experience of lying in bed late at night and scrolling through a nearly infinite feed of homes is a modern miracle — not merely because of all the tech packed into your iPhone, but for the simple reason that all those houses are gathered in one place. Open up Zillow, Redfin, or any of their competitors, and you'll have a clear picture of almost all the homes up for grabs around the country.That may be about to change. Real estate's power players are engaged in a bitter standoff over who exactly gets to see the millions of homes listed for sale in the US each year. At the center of the debate are the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/real-estate-agents-lawsuits-buy-sell-homes-forever-housing-market-2023-6">multiple-listing services</a>, or MLSes, local databases that gather pictures and details of homes for sale. Almost as soon as a real-estate agent starts touting a home publicly — via an email blast, a post on their website, or a sign in a front yard — they'll throw the listing on the MLS to be fed to other agents and aggregator sites like Zillow. Smart business move? Sure. But agents also don't have a choice, thanks to a rule handed down five years ago by the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/lawsuits-verdict-realtors-brokerages-real-estate-agents-home-buying-selling-2023-11">powerful National Association of Realtors</a> called the "clear-cooperation policy," which requires them to list a home on the MLS within one business day of marketing it to the public.Some of the industry's high-profile figures are pushing for the NAR to loosen the rule or get rid of it, which they say would give sellers and their agents more freedom to choose where — and to whom — they advertise their properties. The NAR's top brass are set to consider the change in the coming months.The cynical take is that those in favor of a shake-up — including the leaders of some of the country's largest real-estate brokerages, like Compass and Anywhere Real Estate, the owner of big-name brands like Coldwell Banker and Century 21 — just want to hoard listings on their own websites. As gatekeepers, the thinking goes, they'll be able to lure agents and clients with exclusive access to these properties, growing their businesses and padding their bottom lines. The result would be a more fractured market; instead of going to just Zillow or Realtor.com, a buyer might have to comb through individual brokerages' websites. Agents might be emboldened to share listings among private networks of in-the-know brokers rather than market them to everyone. More homes could trade hands out of view of the average homebuyer."If you were to ask people, 'Should houses be hidden?' most people would say no," Brian Boero, the CEO of 1000Watt, a brand and marketing agency for real-estate companies, told me. "If you asked people, 'Should everybody be able to see the houses that are for sale on the market at any time and have, at least, access to them?' I think most people would say absolutely."It's not quite so cut-and-dried. Opponents of the rule say sellers should be able to market their homes however they see fit, arguing that there are all kinds of reasons someone might not want to list their home on the MLS. And if the goal is a transparent market that prioritizes consumers, the clear-cooperation policy is a flawed tool. It contains a glaring loophole that critics say may have actually pushed more home sales into the shadows.This latest conflict pits Goliath against Goliath, but the stakes are highest for the millions of Davids just trying to put roofs over their heads. The typical buyer wants to see all the homes available, while the typical seller wants a quick sale and a good price. Which kind of housing market will get them there? Both sides claim to know the answer, but their visions for the future of homebuying are miles apart.In the not-so-distant past, MLSes distributed home listings via books — thick, unwieldy tomes that were outdated by the time they made it into a real-estate agent's hands. The introduction of the online MLS around the turn of the century was a revelation, providing a central repository of reliable info on an area's available homes. The system isn't perfect: Access to the MLS is often restricted to licensed agents who pay hundreds of dollars in dues each year to belong to their local, state, and national Realtor associations, on top of MLS fees. Since there are more than 500 local MLSes in the US, an agent might have to pay dues to several of these groups just to see all the homes within an hour's drive of their office. But the databases are still widely considered a model for the rest of the world.While an agent doesn't technically have to participate, the MLS's trove of data is practically a necessity to do the job. And in order to play in the MLS sandbox, you have to follow the MLS rules. About 97% of local MLSes are effectively controlled by the NAR, a trade group with roughly 1.5 million members who pay for the "Realtor" designation and agree to abide by the organization's ethical and professional guidelines. The NAR doesn't own the MLSes directly, but it sets the rules for most of them. Five years ago, the organization's leaders pinpointed a growing problem: Some agents weren't playing fair. They were keeping select listings off the MLS and marketing them on their own websites or among clubby groups of brokers known as private listing networks. The prevalence of so-called pocket listings has always been hard to quantify, but pretty much everyone agrees they were on the rise in the years leading up to the COVID-19 pandemic. Redfin estimated that in the second quarter of 2019, about 1.7% of listings, or some 18,000 homes, were likely pocketed. Those homes were marked "sold" or "pending sale" the same day they were put in the MLS — a sign that the transaction may have already been wrapped up in private. Agents promoting pocket listings might argue that they were acting in the best interests of their clients; a seller going through a messy divorce, for example, may prefer a quiet sales process rather than the fanfare of a public listing. The MLS also displays information that may not be favorable to a seller. It shows the number of days a home has been on the market and keeps track of price cuts, offering buyers leverage points that would never be found on a listing broker's website. There are, of course, self-serving reasons an agent might prefer to advertise a home off the MLS. If they find an unrepresented buyer, they may be able to pocket the portion of the commission that would have otherwise gone to the buyer's agent, upping their haul from the sale to, say, 6% instead of the typical 3%. Belonging to private listing networks could also help drum up business: Work with me, an agent could tell a buyer, and you'll get access to all these listings that Joe Schmo at XYZ Brokerage doesn't even know about. Indeed, Top Agent Network, a destination for high-achieving brokers to share "not-yet-on-MLS properties" with each other, claims on its website that agents can help buyers find their dream homes "by staying ahead of the market."The whole point of the MLS, though, is to have all listings in one place for everyone to find — the system falls apart if agents get to pick and choose which ones to contribute. The NAR's answer to this chaos was the clear-cooperation policy. The rule, which went into effect in May 2020, tightened the screws on agents by requiring them to put a listing on the MLS within one business day of marketing it to the public. For-sale sign in the front yard? Better get it on the MLS pronto. Gush about it on your Facebook page? Clock's ticking. Teasing homes in a private listing network without also posting on the MLS was a no-go.The idea was that any alternative to the MLS would harm both consumers and their agents. A seller risks getting a lower price if there are fewer eyeballs on their listing. A buyer might know of only a fraction of homes for sale at any time, limiting their options. Agents can't make money off shadow listings that they don't even know about. MLSes are also <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/bad-real-estate-agents-realtors-homebuyers-sellers-housing-market-2023-7">huge sources of revenue</a> for the many local Realtor associations that own and operate them — the NAR has a direct interest in making sure they remain valuable."Everybody benefits when we all pool our listings, and we do so in a timely manner," Saul Klein, a longtime real-estate executive who's the CEO of the San Diego Multiple Listing Service, told me. "And people are hurt, potentially, when we don't do that."The new rule, however, included a loophole. It allows agents to market a home to other agents within their brokerage without sharing it on the MLS, a practice known as "office exclusives." The carveout effectively allows for private gardens within each brokerage, filled with homes you can't find anywhere else. Large brokerages like Compass, which has more than 30,000 agents across the country, can make a pitch to a seller like this: "We'll maintain your privacy by keeping your home off Zillow and test your chosen price across our huge network. We can limit the showings so you don't have random people traipsing through your home. And if you're not satisfied, we can always turn to the MLS later."Today, many large brokerages tout offerings that attempt to capitalize on this state of play. Compass, for instance, will offer to list your home as a "private exclusive" within its brokerage before launching it to the public. Howard Hanna's "Find It First" program allows sellers to "benefit from broad exposure without compromising on control," the company's CEO, Howard Hanna IV, said in a statement. In a lawsuit after the unveiling of the rule, Top Agent Network accused the NAR of privileging large brokerages (which belong to the association) while stamping out the competition from alternatives to the MLS. It complained that the organization's rule was "a transparent attempt at protecting its turf, not helping consumers."The clear-cooperation rule faded into the background as the pandemic upended the industry. But as the market settled and other big changes, like the class-action lawsuits over agent commissions, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/homebuyers-real-estate-revolution-nar-lawsuits-new-rules-realtors-agents-2024-4">reached a resolution</a>, a group led by Compass' CEO, Robert Reffkin, began publicly pressuring the NAR to reconsider clear cooperation. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/real-housewives-mauricio-umansky-agency-daily-schedule-2022-8">Mauricio Umansky</a>, a celebrity agent and brokerage CEO known for appearing on "Buying Beverly Hills," "Real Housewives," and "Dancing with the Stars," was already part of the opposition to the rule, having sued the NAR over his attempts to start an MLS alternative known as the PLS, or the Property Listing Service. Executives at Anywhere Real Estate, one of the largest brokerage companies in the country, have pushed for the rule to be loosened but not eliminated — one suggestion is to give agents more time to market a home publicly before listing it on the MLS. On the other side, executives at Zillow and Redfin decried the potentially disastrous consequences of a fractured housing market. In a recent op-ed article, Redfin's president and CEO, Glenn Kelman, argued that the end of clear cooperation would allow large brokerages to control more inventory, forcing buyers, sellers, and their agents to flock to big players rather than smaller outfits."The goal in weakening Clear Cooperation is to make being bigger matter — more than being better," Kelman wrote. "That is the law of the jungle, masquerading as freedom."It's not clear, though, that the clear-cooperation rule made things much better for consumers. In a hot market, it's easier for brokers to market a home off the databases and still get it sold. Redfin estimates that in the second quarter of 2021, the share of listings that were likely pocketed increased to 2.8%, or almost 35,000 homes. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/housing-market-ice-age-higher-home-prices-fewer-sales-inventory-2023-5">The market has since slowed</a>, and Redfin's estimation of pocket listings was down to 1.8% of sales in the second quarter of this year, roughly in line with the same period in 2019. These are imperfect estimates; it's possible for a home to debut on the MLS in the morning and have a sale pending by the end of the day without anything unscrupulous happening. They could also be undercounts, since some homes may never be listed in the MLS at all. Ultimately, the data from one of clear cooperation's biggest advocates doesn't prove that the rule has actually reduced off-MLS sales. What has changed since the rule went into effect is brokerages' eagerness to control access to home listings. Home sales volume has plummeted since the heady days of 2021, which means <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/compass-layoffs-robert-reffkin-housing-market-2023-1">less revenue for the businesses that make their money by taking a cut of their agents' sales commissions</a>. Without clear cooperation, brokerages could drive more traffic to their own websites by publicly advertising homes that aren't available in the MLS or on sites like Zillow. And they could continue to tease office exclusives that are accessible only if you work with their agents.Both sides of this debate can reasonably claim that the industry will face legal trouble if they don't get their way. The Department of Justice, which has been fighting to reopen a wide-ranging investigation into the NAR, has signaled that the organization's control of the MLSes could be anticompetitive, stifling the development of alternative databases. What incentive is there for someone to start an MLS rival, the thinking goes, if basically everyone who uses the new database would still have to put their listings on the MLS anyway? On the other hand, proponents of clear cooperation argue that not showing homes to everybody could run afoul of fair-housing laws designed to ensure that buyers have equal access to the market."The fact that every listing is contributed to the MLS and that every consumer has access to that information is an enormous and overwhelming benefit to support fair housing," Victor Lund, a founder and managing partner of Wav Group, a consulting firm for real-estate companies, told me. "There is too much opportunity for housing discrimination without it."There are a lot of ways this could go. The final call will rest in the hands of top leaders at NAR, whose board will likely mull over the issue at its annual convention in the second week of November. It could be months before a decision, however, especially since it's not clear what kinds of actions the DOJ may take against the organization. NAR leadership could keep clear cooperation as is, repeal it entirely, or revise it in ways that might not even be obvious right now. Several people I spoke with, including Kelman, told me they'd like to see the office-exclusive loophole closed — no more exceptions for agents marketing homes within their brokerages."If you haven't bought a home yet," Kelman told me, "there is nothing more unsettling than seeing a moving van outside a house that never showed up in any of your searches." An imperfect rule, he argued, is better than no rule. Those in Kelman's camp say a housing market without the current version of the MLS would be more divided and more difficult to parse. At the same time, it's impossible to brush aside the criticisms of the rule. There's no guarantee it will remain as it is when the dust settles.The lawsuits over agent commissions last year were seismic, but they were ultimately about the practical matter of consumers' wallets: how much they were paying agents and what they were getting in return. The debate over clear cooperation strikes me as much more existential. Its result will determine the kind of housing market we have in the future. Buckle up.<a target="_blank" rel="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/author/james-rodriguez">James Rodriguez</a> is a senior reporter on Business Insider's Discourse team.

Realtors are fighting over hidden listings. Their battle could make it harder to find a home.

The list of major companies requiring employees to return to the office

After social media outrage over a Budget proposal making it mandatory to get <keyword id="22574399" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="tax-clearance-certificate" source="keywords">tax clearance certificate</keyword>s for going abroad, the government on Sunday clarified that the proposed amendment is not for all, and only those accused of financial irregularities or having substantial tax arrears need such clearance. The <keyword id="19955404" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="finance" source="keywords">finance</keyword> ministry, in the Finance Bill, 2024, has proposed to add the reference of the <keyword id="20961832" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Black-Money-Act" source="keywords">Black Money Act</keyword>, 2015, to the list of Acts, under which any person should clear his liabilities to obtain the tax clearance certificate. "The proposed amendment does not require all the residents to obtain the tax clearance certificate," the ministry said in a statement. As per section 230 of the Income-tax Act, 1961, every person is not required to obtain a tax clearance certificate. Only in the case of certain persons, in respect of whom circumstances exist, which make it necessary to obtain a tax clearance certificate will be required to obtain such a certificate. The ministry said that the Income Tax department through a 2004 notification has specified that the tax clearance certificate may be required to be obtained by persons domiciled in India only in certain circumstances. These include - where the person is involved in <keyword id="22576180" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="serious-financial-irregularities" source="keywords">serious financial irregularities</keyword> and his presence is necessary in the investigation of cases under the Income-tax Act or the Wealth-tax Act and it is likely that a tax demand will be raised against him, or where the person has direct tax arrears exceeding Rs 10 lakh outstanding against him, which have not been stayed by any authority. The I-T department said that a person can be asked to obtain a tax clearance certificate only after recording the reasons for the same and after taking approval from the Principal Chief Commissioner of Income-tax or Chief Commissioner of Income-tax. Such a certificate is required to be issued by the income-tax authority, stating that such person has no liabilities under the Income-tax Act, or the Wealth-tax Act, 1957, or the Gift-tax Act, 1958, or the Expenditure-tax Act, 1987, it added.

After outrage, Govt clarifies: tax clearance certificate only for people with tax dues, high-value defaulters

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Ned Davis Research predicts a stock market boost in 2025 regardless of who wins the November election.</li><li>Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have proposed economic plans that would stimulate growth, NDR said.</li></ul>Regardless of who wins the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/category/elections">Presidential election in November,</a> it's going to be a win for the stock market according to Ned Davis Research.The research firm said in a note on Wednesday that the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-kamala-harris-plans-to-build-3-million-new-homes-2024-8">economic proposals</a> of both Democrat nominee Kamala Harris and Republican nominee Donald Trump, would both stimulate the economy."Based on the annual average of these limited assessments, both Harris and Trump will run up the budget deficit to the tune of $220 billion to $650 billion per year, which will stimulate economic growth," NDR's senior US economist Veneta Dimitrova said.That, combined with <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/interest-rate-cuts-are-coming-federal-reserve-jackson-hole-powell-2024-8">expected interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve,</a> should result in a risk-on environment for the stock market in 2025.Some of the major stimulative proposals from the Harris camp include extending the 2017 TCJA tax cuts for households earning less than $400,000 per year, increasing the Child Tax Credit to $3,600 per child and $6,000 per newborn, and eliminating income taxes on tips.For Trump, the stimulative economic proposals include extending the 2017 TCJA tax cuts for all, increasing the Child Tax Credit to $5,000 per child, and eliminating income taxes on social security benefits for seniors.Trump is also advocating for an <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-tax-free-tips-proposal-2024-6">elimination of income taxes on tips.</a>Below is a list of economic proposals from both candidates, and their estimated impact on the federal deficit.<div type="image" title="A table compared the different economic proposals of Trump and Harris" height="837" width="1183" msid="112876680" hostid="261" sizebytes="102100"></div>Potential stimulus measures from Trump or Harris will be in addition to the hundreds of billions of dollars of stimulus that are set to hit the economy thanks to laws already enacted during the Biden administration."Such stimulus will combine with other government spending already in the pipeline from signature Biden laws, including the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the Inflation Reduction Act, and the CHIPS Act, that are set to deliver an estimated $357 billion of direct government spending through 2031," Dimitrova said.She added: "Regardless of who wins the election, this implies a tailwind to economic growth and equity markets in 2025."A <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/us-dollar-falls-fed-powell-rate-cut-signal-limited-impact-2024-8">falling US dollar is also in the cards next year</a> according to the note, especially if the US deficit grows even more, and a weaker greenback tends to be a tailwind for corporate profits and US stock prices.While the trillions of dollars of potential stimulus could be great for the economy and stock market, it could also spark another surge in inflation.That's especially true if Trump's across-the-board tariff proposals or Harris' price gouging measures are enacted, Dimitrova said.But it's worth noting that these are all proposals, and whether they become law hinges on which party wins Congress."Ultimately, the makeup of Congress, which may also change in this election, will determine the feasibility of these proposals and may act as a check on spending and tax changes," Dimitrova said.

Why the November election is a win for the stock market no matter who comes out on top

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Fast-food chains are pulling onions from their restaurants due to E. coli risks.</li><li>Taco Bell, KFC, and Johnny Rockets joined McDonald's in withdrawing the ingredient from some locations.</li></ul>A string of American fast-food chains and restaurants are pulling fresh onions from some of their locations because of<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-quarter-pounder-e-coli-outbreak-symptoms-states-2024-10"> E. Coli food poisoning risks.</a>Yum Brands, the parent of Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and KFC, said it was pulling the ingredient from some restaurants out of caution, the company <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-24/taco-bell-pizza-hut-and-kfc-pull-onions-after-e-coli-outbreak">told Bloomberg</a> on Thursday. Yum did not specify the number or location of restaurants or specific suppliers.On Thursday, Burger King said that it gets some of its onions from Taylor Farms, a supplier to the McDonald's restaurants that have been linked to the E. Coli outbreak.Burger King said that it has not had any cases of illnesses or contact from authorities about whether it was impacted. But it directed outlets who received the onions — 5% of its about 7,000 outlets — to dispose of the vegetable immediately.Fat Brands, which owns Johnny Rockets and other restaurants, also said it stopped using Taylor Farm onions on Thursday.Burger King, Yum Brands, and Fat Brands did not respond to a request for comment sent outside business hours.The series of withdrawals comes after <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-quarter-pounder-ecoli-outbreak-why-important-sales-2024-10">49 cases of E. coli infections</a> and one death in a food poisoning outbreak spanning 10 US states. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said on Tuesday that anyone who has developed severe E. coli symptoms after eating a McDonald's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-quarter-pounder-e-coli-outbreak-symptoms-states-2024-10">Quarter Pounder should call</a> their healthcare provider.Public health officials are investigating which ingredient could be causing the outbreak. Early information from the FDA suggests the slivered onions or beef patties used for Quarter Pounders are the likely source of contamination.<a target="_blank" rel="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-expensive-prices-too-high-fast-food-restaurant-falling-sales-2024-7">McDonald's</a> has temporarily pulled the Quarter Pounder from its menus in Colorado, Kansas, Utah, and Wyoming, as well as portions of surrounding states.Other restaurants have <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-mcdonalds-can-recover-from-food-safety-crisis-e-coli-2024-10">weathered similar food-safety issues</a> in recent years.Outbreaks at fast-casual Mexican chain Chipotle cost the company $25 million to settle criminal charges related to outbreaks that affected 1,100 people from 2015 to 2018. The company announced a slate of new food-safety protocols in 2016 and its stock eventually recovered. In 2022, Wendy's restaurants were linked to an E. coli outbreak in six states. Both outbreaks involved hundreds of cases, far more than the number of people currently known to be impacted in the current McDonald's-related outbreak.<a target="_blank" rel="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/mcd-stock?_gl=1*1f1j3x0*_ga*MTA0NDI4Mzk2My4xNzA4NDI2MTU3*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTcyOTY3NDY4Ny4yMTYuMC4xNzI5Njc0Njg3LjAuMC4w">McDonald's stock price</a> has dropped over 4% this week as news of the outbreak spreads and investors worry the cases will affect sales of the Quarter Pounder.

The list of fast-food places pulling onions over E. coli concerns just keeps growing

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Intel has been driving lots of retail chatter and stock purchases in recent days.</li><li>The chipmaker's stock has tanked this year, and a poorly timed investment has tickled Reddit users.</li></ul><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/gamestop-roaring-kitty-gme-stock-price-rally-meme-traders-wallstreetbets-2024-6">GameStop</a>. <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/bed-bath-and-beyond-rise-and-fall-photos-2020-1">Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</a>. Intel?The microchip maker isn't an obvious choice to become the next big meme stock, but it's generating a bunch of buzz on Reddit's WallStreetBets subreddit.Early on Thursday, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/stocks/intc-stock">Intel</a> ranked fifth on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">Swaggy Stocks</a>' list of trending stocks on WSB over the past week, and sixth on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://apewisdom.io/wallstreetbets/">Ape Wisdom</a>'s list for the past 24 hours.Retail investors have also been piling money into the chipmaker. Vanda Research's retail flow tracker shows it was the fifth most popular stock in the five trading days through August 13, attracting $162 million in net retail purchases.Intel only trailed <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-secret-sauce-regulators-gpu-chips-jensen-huang-2024-7">Nvidia</a> ($1.4 billion), AMD ($259 million), Palantir ($189 million), and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla">Tesla</a> ($164 million). It outpaced the likes of <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/apple">Apple</a> ($155 million) and Microsoft ($147 million).Vanda analysts noted that overall net retail purchases have surged this month, "far exceeding even our most bullish expectations" as investors capitalized on the "chunkiest dip since April." Demand has cooled since the start of August but purchases continue to hover near a 12-month high of $1.4 billion a day, the analysts added.<h2 id="6147f58a-e5b6-4b95-915b-ddb73c3e2d40">Why Intel?</h2>Intel stock has plunged by about 60% this year to about $20, its lowest level in over a decade. On August 2, it <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/intel-stock-price-layoffs-weak-guidance-missed-analyst-estimates-semiconductors-2024-8">tanked as much as 30%</a> — its steepest one-day decline in over 30 years — after Intel's second-quarter earnings revealed plans to lay off some 15,000 staff, or 15% of its total workforce, and guided toward lower revenues than Wall Street expected.The company's net assets were valued at $115 billion at the end of June, about $30 billion higher than its current market capitalization.Meme-stock investors are known for finding beaten-down stocks to purchase en masse, but they also love to buy into funny stories and back colorful characters like GameStop guru <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/gamestop-investor-deepfuckingvalue-roaring-kitty-reddit-stocks-wall-street-2021-1-1030022004">Keith "Roaring Kitty" Gill</a>.In Intel's case, some of the excitement seems to have been sparked by a WSB post from the user u/Sad_Nefariousness10. In a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ehjuzj/i_bought_700k_worth_of_intel_stock_today/">post</a> on August 1, the user claimed they'd received an $800,000 inheritance from their grandmother, had invested $700,000 of it in Intel that day, and planned to hold the chip stock for at least 10 years.It appears to have been a dismally timed purchase, given Intel crashed by over a quarter after the market closed that day. The user <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1eiktnw/ok_i_definitely_picked_the_wrong_day_to_buy_intel/">posted</a> an update the next day showing their investment had shrunk by $204,000 on paper to below $500,000, but they still planned to hold the stock for the next decade. BI was unable to confirm the posts' veracity.The user's ill fortune sent the forum into fits of laughter, but appears to have spurred others to get in on the joke by investing large sums in Intel stock.BI spoke to four Reddit users who've claimed in recent posts on WSB to have invested in Intel stock. BI has not verified their claims so they should be treated with skepticism. Here are their comments on Intel, lightly edited for length and clarity:<h2 id="47a56c4f-589b-4a63-b3f8-fa0b49fef9a7">1. u/Smallmem</h2>"I'm investing big into Intel primarily because it's a cheap stock basically trading at book value, and investing into it is a bet against international trade; if the US decides to not be completely reliant on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/chip-tsmc-taiwan-semiconductor-trillion-market-cap-nvidia-ai-asml-2024-7">Taiwan Semiconductor</a>, which I believe it must, Intel stock will rise quickly."The Intel Grandma post was an incredible post because of the incredible timing. You have someone invest $700k of their inheritance into stocks, not even options, and it plummets down $200k by the end of the day; it's hilarious. And the framing of it being his grandma's inheritance has proven even funnier."WallStreetBets has always been about people gambling stupid large sums of money into dumb investments, and it's even funnier when it's in a currently failing company like Intel. I personally posted myself buying Intel because I felt for the kid; he made a gigantic play as his first investment and lost a bunch of money immediately."While most of WallStreetBets (including me) throw money in the trash playing options hoping to score millions and make a funny post on Reddit when we lose, he was planning to set and forget INTC for 10 years! It was terribly unfortunate timing that did him in. He's still holding INTC though, which shows his commitment! I wish him the best."u/Smallmem told BI he's 22, studying for a master's in computer science, and owns around $20,000 of Intel stock. He said Intel is unlikely to take off like other meme stocks as its market value is too high, and there are fewer casual investors who are bored and stuck at home than during the pandemic. But he suggested the buzz around the stock could lead professional investors to buy in, pushing up its price.<h2 id="1dc7ac34-5ef3-4e02-9611-ecbfe9818ac0">2. u/randomGov</h2>"I can buy a 1) nationally strategically important company, 2) with a huge moat (only a few can spend 100+ billion to compete), 3) for less than its TANGIBLE book value, 4) that has spent more than its current market cap on capex into fabs (good chance of future significant returns), 5) making stuff (chips) the future (AI, EVs, and other tech) is built on, 6) with a good chance of being a tech leader."u/randomGOV <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1ere2ri/the_halfregarded_grandson/">posted</a> an unconfirmed screenshot of his portfolio showing a $227,000 investment in Intel.<div type="image" title="Laptops with Intel chips on display at CES 2024 in Las Vegas." height="683" width="1024" msid="112566306" hostid="261" sizebytes="72748"></div><h2 id="a324d94e-299a-4ffe-b4af-cf781652477a">3. u/wedge754</h2>"I think it has the potential to become a meme stock, it's not there yet. I think it's oversold and people are forgetting how broad Intel's market actually is. Intel is the US largest chip manufacturer, I don't see them going down without a fight. Most importantly, I'm thinking a new CEO is on the horizon. Intel has a ton of upside potential if they can just get their act together."I've been watching Intel since the COVID/AI boom and how Intel basically stagnated. The recent big drop seemed like the time to jump in — I'm hoping the negative attention puts pressure on them to restructure. The meme posts are just icing on the cake."u/wedge754 told BI he's invested about $25,000 into Intel.<h2 id="9f2bce18-f869-47a7-8817-a1dcfb4a6d98">4. dc_chilling17</h2>"I'm betting big because the outlook for the company is super bright. The market is putting too much weight on margin pressure, which is a direct result of their capex buildout for their foundry business. When the market realizes that Intel is going to be the Fedex to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/chip-tsmc-taiwan-semiconductor-trillion-market-cap-nvidia-ai-asml-2024-7">TSMC</a>'s UPS, and that the margins are being squeezed due to a perfect storm of events vs a flaw in the business itself, things will turn around."They will IPO Altera for north of $30 billion. Mobileye is probably worth $15-20 billion a year from now. Back those out, you're telling me that one of the largest chip companies in the world by revenue, with a monopoly on manufacturing with respect to the West, is worth $30-40 billion?"Meanwhile <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/lisa-su-amd-billionaire-jensen-huang-nvidia-cousin-2024-4">AMD</a>, their little brother with a fraction of the market share and no fabs is worth $220 billion? It's just a market dislocation. I bought Exxon at $39, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/meta">Meta</a> at $89, and now Intel at $19. The play is obvious. The market will wake up to it."dc_chilling17 told BI he has a $1.1 million position in Intel.

Intel is having a meme-stock moment. 4 retail investors explain why they're betting on the chipmaker. 

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Anna Kendrick made her directorial debut with Netflix's new true crime movie, "Woman of the Hour."</li><li>She told "The Late Show" that she was "beyond terrified" when she first pitched to direct the film.</li></ul><a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/anna-kendrick-movie-roles-twilight-pitch-perfect-a-simple-favor-2024-10">Anna Kendrick</a>'s directorial debut, "Woman of the Hour," is getting rave reviews, but the actor told Stephen Colbert on "The Late Show" that she was "beyond terrified" of taking the leap."<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/the-dating-game-cheryl-bradshaw-rodney-alcala-true-story-2024-10">Woman of the Hour</a>" is Netflix's latest true crime thriller. The genre has been a huge hit on the platform with shows including "Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.netflix.com/tudum/top10/most-popular/tv">third most-watched series</a> of all time on Netflix), "When They See Us," and "Inventing Anna." These successes are just one part of Netflix's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/netflix-stock-historic-high-chart-streaming-2024-9">financial comeback</a>. The streaming giant's stocks are soaring, reaching an all-time high of $725 a share this month, up from 2022 lows of $180. During an appearance on Wednesday's "The Late Show with Stephen Colbert" episode, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/why-anna-kendrick-is-the-best-2016-7">Kendrick</a> said she signed on to star in the film two years before they started filming because she had become "obsessed with true crime." Six weeks from the production start date in 2022, the producers still didn't have a director, and the project was close to falling apart.The producers wanted someone with experience as they planned to start shooting soon, but <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/anna-kendrick-movies-ranked-according-to-critics-2020-8">Kendrick</a> told Colbert she had other ideas."I have this voice inside of me that was like, 'We should pitch ourselves to direct.' And I was also going, 'Shut up. Everybody shut up. We're not doing that,'" She said. "I couldn't help myself, and I pushed myself off a cliff and figured, 'Well, we'll find out on the way down if I've packed this parachute correctly.'"Kendrick joins a trend of actors trying out the director's chair. Chris Pine, Dev Patel, Jerry Seinfeld, and Michael B. Jordan have all made <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/best-directorial-debuts-by-actors-movies-2023-3">directorial debuts</a> in the last two years starring in the films they directed.Kendrick said on "The Late Show" that she had to make a pitch to the producers the next day to persuade them to allow her to direct.She said she was "beyond terrified," adding "I was in the Zoom with all the producers going, 'Here's my pitch.' And I'm sort of half doing the pitch and also going, 'Unless you think it's a bad idea, in which case, let's not do it. I just want to do what's right for the movie, you guys.'"<div type="image" title="An image of Anna Kendrick wearing a white jumper with blue and red stars on it while using a camera on a tripod." height="4800" width="7200" msid="114550288" hostid="261" sizebytes="3305342"></div>Kendrick said the producers asked her to redo the pitch the next day but with more confidence. "It was a fascinating example of just how phony Hollywood is because then I did it again the next day," Kendrick continued. "And I just did, 'You'd be fools not to hire me.' And they hired me.""They knew that I was faking it. They have told me to fake it, and they still were like, 'Well, that lady seems like a leader. Let's hire her.'"In recent years, Michelle Obama, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/celebrities-who-talked-about-having-imposter-syndrome-2023-4">Tom Hanks</a>, and other celebrities have been vocal about their imposter syndrome, a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/barbara-corcoran-shark-tank-investor-on-imposter-syndrome-and-success-2024-1">psychological condition</a> where individuals doubt their abilities and fear being exposed as a fraud.<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/artists-creatives-prone-to-imposter-syndrome-how-to-cope-2023-12">Valerie Young</a>, the cofounder of the Imposter Syndrome Institute, previously told Business Insider that people who work in creative fields are significantly more prone to self-doubt because art is subjective, allowing artists to think that they can always do "better."Young recommended: "Shifting your mindset about competence — to know that sometimes good enough is good enough and moving on."It seemed to have worked for Kendrick, who was on <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="c-link c-link--focus-visible" href="https://variety.com/lists/variety-10-directors-to-watch-2024/">Variety's 10 directors</a> to watch list in Janurary. "Woman of the Hour" has a Rotten Tomatoes critic score of 91% and debut on the second spot of Netflix's top 10 movies last week.

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