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What if adding years to your life was as simple as taking a stroll? According to a new study, being more active could be the key to unlocking a longer, healthier life — especially for those over 40. <h3 style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:14pt;margin-bottom:4pt;">5 extra years, just by moving more</h3>The study revealed that if everyone in the U.S. were as active as the top 25% of the population, individuals over 40 could add five years to their lives. The secret? <keyword id="20053428" type="General" weightage="100" keywordseo="physical-activity" source="keywords">Physical activity</keyword>. Researchers discovered this by using accelerometers — devices that track movement with precision — rather than relying on self-reported activity levels. The result are that the benefits of exercise are twice as strong as previously thought. <h3 style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:14pt;margin-bottom:4pt;">Risk of death drops by 73%</h3>The most active quarter of the population had a whopping 73% lower risk of death than the least active group. But here’s where it gets exciting: for the least active group, even a small step (literally) makes a huge difference. For example, just a one-hour walk could give you six additional hours of life. Think of it as trading one Netflix binge for a half-day extension on your lifespan! <h3 style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:14pt;margin-bottom:4pt;">The biggest gains for the least active</h3>Lead researcher Professor Lennert Veerman highlighted the potential for the least active group: “If the least active quartile of the population over age 40 were to increase their activity level to that of the most active quartile, they might live, on average, about 11 years longer,” he said. Here’s the best part — it’s doable. The most active group isn’t climbing mountains or running marathons. Their activity level is equivalent to just under three hours of walking per day, proving that even moderate movement can pay off big. Low levels of physical activity could be as damaging as smoking, the researchers suggested. Just as each cigarette can shave off 11 minutes of life, inactivity has its toll. Conversely, moving more acts as a shield, helping prevent heart disease, stroke, certain cancers, and other chronic conditions. <h3 style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:14pt;margin-bottom:4pt;">Revolusionising health recommendations</h3>The study’s findings indicate a need to revisit national guidelines on physical activity. Dr. Veerman emphasised how underestimated physical movement has been: “If there's something you could do to more than halve your risk of death, physical activity is enormously powerful,” he said. He also stressed the importance of creating environments that encourage movement: walkable neighbourhoods, affordable public transport, and spaces for cycling could benefit individuals and society alike by boosting health outcomes and reducing strain on healthcare systems. Medical boards such as the WHO and the ICMR advise adults to engage in at least 150 minutes of moderate aerobic activity or 75 minutes of vigorous activity per week, alongside muscle-strengthening exercises twice a week. Children and teens should aim for 60 minutes of daily physical activity, including muscle and bone-strengthening activities three times a week. Older adults are encouraged to follow similar guidelines with added focus on balance and flexibility exercises to prevent falls. The government promotes physical activity through initiatives like the <keyword id="20284979" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Fit-India-Movement" source="keywords">Fit India Movement</keyword>, though experts emphasise the need for better access to parks, sidewalks, and fitness programs to make exercise more achievable for all. Don’t worry — you don’t need to leap into intense workouts. Even modest increases in activity can yield significant results. A short walk, an evening dance, or even taking the stairs instead of the elevator could be your ticket to a longer, healthier life. The findings of this study have been published in the British Journal of Sports Medicine and can be accessed <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2024-108125">here</a>.

Doing this simple thing could add years to your life, research says

It is no secret that women often outlive men. The global average life expectancy in 2021 was about 68.4 years for men. In contrast, this stood at 73.8 years for women. As such, it is far more important for women to begin planning for their golden years as early as possible. Perhaps realizing this, more women are getting into investing than ever before! Even better, women save about 5% more each month than men. A recent Max Life's India Retirement Index Study (IRIS 4.0) also highlighted a similar sentiment: women are increasingly taking charge of their retirement and finances. Per the study, urban Indian working women are now keeping pace with men, with 66% being confident that their current investments will guarantee a financially secure retirement life. In terms of health, 48% of urban Indian working women feel confident that they will continue to stay fit and healthy in their retirement years. Encouragingly, a whopping 68% of urban Indian women have already started investing for their retirement. Amongst their preferred investment avenues are life insurance (65%), bank FDs/RDs (45%), medical insurance (36%), and mutual funds and SIPs (14%). The awareness is not limited to women; young urban Indians are awakening to the realization that retirement planning should be kicked off as soon as possible. Per IRIS 4,0, 44% of Indians consider the right age to start planning for retirement to be before 35 years, a jump from 38% in IRIS 3.0. An overwhelming 93% of respondents aged above 50 regret delaying their retirement planning. Says Priyanka Bhatia, Co-Founder of Women on Wealth, "Women, by and large, live longer than men and may confront professional interferences, which influence retirement reserve funds essentially. Beginning in your 20s permits women to create strategies that account for longevity risks and potential income gaps. Investments like annuities and dividend-paying assets guarantee a consistent income stream post-retirement, permitting ladies to explore monetary freedom even in later years.". Not to mention, beginning early also permits individuals to take advantage of tax-efficient investments over a more drawn-out period. In India, instruments like the National Pension Scheme (NPS) offer tax benefits that develop over the long haul. By expanding these exceptions from a young age, women can grow their retirement reserve funds while reducing taxable income in each financial year. Bhatia notes that even if one is planning to retire early, it does not only mean putting something aside for your 60s. It is also about adaptability to pick semi-retirement choices, work in sectors driven by passion, or even pursue entrepreneurial ventures without financial pressure. "Beginning in your 20s allows you to amass funds that can allow for early retirement, empowering a change to lifestyle-oriented work or community contributions later in life," Bhatia signs off.

Planning for your retirement in your 20s? Here's why it is a smart move!

In India, Children’s Day is celebrated on November 14, while International Children’s Day, established by the United Nations, is observed globally on November 20. India initially marked Children’s Day on November 20, but this changed after the passing of Pandit <keyword id="6360386" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Jawaharlal-nehru" source="Orion">Jawaharlal Nehru</keyword>, the country’s first Prime Minister and a prominent leader in the freedom movement. An anti-colonial nationalist, social democrat, and author, Nehru was instrumental in India’s independence struggle and a champion of parliamentary democracy, secularism, and advancements in science and technology. He served as Prime Minister for 17 years, guiding India’s post-independence growth and development. During his leadership, India maintained a neutral stance amid Cold War tensions and made significant strides in education and other key areas, shaping the nation’s future trajectory. Nehru had a deep affection for children and placed immense trust in their potential. He saw them as invaluable treasures and the nation’s future, capable of transforming the country’s future. Because of this belief, he emphasised the importance of their education, upbringing, and development, seeing their growth as vital to the nation’s progress. Children lovingly called him "Chachaji," a name by which he is still fondly remembered as "Chacha Nehru" by both children and adults today. Children’s Day also serves as a reminder of the importance of prioritising children’s well-being, ensuring that every child—regardless of economic, social, or political background—enjoys a safe and fulfilling childhood. This includes access to basic necessities like shelter, education, healthcare, and sanitation. Beyond these essentials, safeguarding children’s human rights is crucial. It’s our collective responsibility to protect them from harmful practices such as abuse, trafficking, and child labour. Given that millions of children in India are orphans, it is essential to protect and nurture their present to secure a bright future for them and for the nation. To celebrate this day with your loved ones, here are heartfelt wishes and messages that will bring joy and positivity this Children’s Day. <h2>Children’s Day Wishes</h2><ul><li><keyword id="1451428" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Happy-Childrens-Day" source="Orion">Happy Children’s Day</keyword>! May you sparkle and shine with happiness always! </li><li>To the joy-bringers, the dreamers, and the pure-hearted—Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>May your childhood be filled with love, laughter, and endless joy. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Every child is a miracle. You are our little star. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>May you grow up to achieve all that you dream and more! Happy Children’s Day. </li><li>Wishing you the happiest, brightest Children’s Day ever! </li><li>May your innocence and laughter light up the world. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Here’s to the magical, carefree years of childhood! Enjoy it to the fullest. </li><li>Happy Children’s Day! May you always have a reason to smile. </li><li>Childhood is precious. Live every moment and make beautiful memories. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Wishing you oceans of joy and a sky full of dreams. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>You are the stars of tomorrow. Shine bright, little ones! Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>May your imagination lead you to magical places. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Happy Children’s Day to the sweetest kids who make our world so much brighter! </li><li>To the wonder-makers, the adventurers, the joyful souls—Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>May your life be filled with dreams, love, and laughter. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Here’s to the laughter, the smiles, and the endless joy of childhood! </li><li>May every little child feel special, cherished, and loved. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Wishing all the happiness and joy to the little hearts of the world! </li><li>May you always have a smile on your face and a song in your heart. </li><li>You bring joy to the world just by being you. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Every child is a treasure, and you are the most precious. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>May your days be filled with colour, joy, and wonderful memories. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>You are the hope of tomorrow, and you bring so much joy today. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Wishing you laughter, play, and endless joy. Have a fantastic Children’s Day! </li><li>To the world’s sweetest souls, may you always find happiness. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Here’s to a day filled with dreams, games, and smiles. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>Keep shining, keep laughing, and keep being amazing! Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>May you live every day with the wonder and joy of childhood. Happy Children’s Day! </li><li>To the most wonderful part of life—children! Have a beautiful Children’s Day! </li></ul><h2>Messages for <keyword id="23888689" type="General" weightage="20" keywordseo="Childrens-Day-2024" source="Orion">Children’s Day 2024</keyword></h2>On this day, let’s honour Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru’s legacy and nurture the future of India—our children. Happy Children’s Day! November 14 is a reminder to cherish childhood and encourage the potential within every child. Wishing all a joyful Children’s Day! Let’s promise to protect, care for, and empower every child, giving them a happy, healthy future. Happy Children’s Day! This Children’s Day, let’s remember that every child has the right to education, love, and a life of happiness. November 14, a day to celebrate the joy of childhood and the dream of a brighter future. Happy Children’s Day! Happy Children’s Day! Let’s make every child feel safe, loved, and cherished not just today but always. Today let’s dedicate ourselves to creating a world where every child feels valued and heard. Happy Children’s Day! Celebrating the laughter and dreams of children across India on this special day, November 14. On this Children’s Day, let’s embrace the spirit of innocence, joy, and hope that every child brings to the world. Children are our tomorrow; let’s make sure they grow up with love, respect, and opportunities. Happy Children’s Day! SEE ALSO: <a href="https://www.businessinsider.in/travel/india/webstories/10-kid-friendly-heritage-trips-for-childrens-day-2024/slidelist/115210134.cms" data-type="tilCustomLink" target="_blank">10 kid-friendly heritage trips for Children’s Day 2024</a>

Happy Children’s Day 2024: Messages and heartfelt wishes for kids

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Spy mania in Russia has created an environment that's stifling innovation, sources told BI.</li><li>Arrests for treason in Russia have soared, human rights experts said.</li></ul>Ivan Pavlov, a Russian-born lawyer who now lives in Europe, was 51 was he was forced to leave his home country. After years of representing Russians who had been accused of treason, he was put on the nation's wanted list and labeled as a "foreign agent" in 2021 — a term that, in Russia, is equated with spy, according to the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2022/12/01/russia-new-restrictions-foreign-agents">Human Rights Watch</a>.Eventually, he knew he had to flee, he told Business Insider in an interview."All my professional life was in Russia," he said. "My family was inside Russia and it was a huge [suffering]."The arrest of accused "spies" has risen dramatically since Moscow began its invasion of Ukraine, Pavlov and other human rights experts told BI.That could end up having a big knock-on effect on Russia's already-weakened economy. Possible impacts include decreased investment, decreased consumption, and slower growth as Russia shifts away from a capitalistic society, Richard Portes, an economist from the London Business School, says."You do have an inhibition on risk-taking, innovation," Portes told BI on the intensifying pursuit of foreign agents in Russia. "For those who remain, you're not going to get any dynamic economic activity. Aside from the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-outlook-ukraine-war-worker-shortage-population-brain-drain-2024-8">brain drain</a>, aside from the drain of young people, you're not going to get any innovation. And I think that's the medium-term consequence of all this: disastrous."Sergei Guriev, another economist who was deemed a "foreign agent" by the Russian government, agrees the crackdown on perceived security threats could hurt the country economically.He used the example of Russia recently <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-arrests-3-hypersonic-missile-scientists-for-treason-2023-5">arresting some of its missile scientists</a>, which has made others in the scientific community fearful of publishing new research, he said."We can expect that it should impact economic growth," he added, though he noted the effect may not be immediately felt.Russia's economy is showing some signs that the kind of risk-taking associated with innovation and entrepreneurship is on the decline. Innovation in Russia has fallen behind the nation's level of development, according to a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.wipo.int/web-publications/global-innovation-index-2024/assets/67729/2000%20Global%20Innovation%20Index%202024_WEB2.pdf">2024 ranking</a> from the World Intellectual Property Organization. Patent filings fell 13% in Russia in 2022, while patent filings from foreign applicants dropped 30%, according to data from the <a target="_blank" href="https://rospatent.gov.ru/content/uploadfiles/otchet-2023.pdf">Russian Patent Office</a>.Russia minted just 240,458 new LLCs in 2022, about half of the number of new companies that registered in 2015, according to the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/entrepreneurship">World Bank entrepreneurship</a> database.Private investment in Russia is also down. Private equity and venture capital-backed M&amp;A deals and funding rounds in Russia dropped around 39% from 2022 to 2023, with the nation seeing just <a target="_blank" href="https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/2-years-on-private-capital-flees-russia-builds-slowly-in-ukraine-80421379">$1.4 billion</a> of those types deals last year, according to S&amp;P Global data. Merger and acquisition deal value as a whole also dropped 71% to $6.41 billion, down from $22.48 billion the prior year.<a target="_blank" href="https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/132_28-08-2024.html">Corporate profits</a> in Russia also dropped around 6% in the first half of the year in 2024. Meanwhile, profits from Russia's professional, scientific, and technical activities dropped around 19% over the first half of this year compared to the same period a year ago, Rosstat data shows.These outcomes are partly influenced by a more restrictive environment in Russia, Portes said, in addition to some of Moscow's other challenges, like <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-outlook-stagflation-recession-inflation-gdp-growth-ukraine-war-2024-9">high inflation</a> and the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russian-economy-brain-drain-labor-shortage-workforce-exodus-capital-flight-2023-9">flight of some of its most educated</a> workers."The longer-term consequences, the medium-term consequences, are hollowing out [the economy]," he said. "It's very sad, but that's what it is."<h3 id="c673f304-1ae4-43f5-81a2-d4145eb78dc1">Moscow's spy mania</h3>The number of Russians being accused of treason has skyrocketed in recent years, Guriev says. He estimates that over 100 people each year are now being arrested for treason. That's likely because Russia's government is focused on creating an "atmosphere of fear," and "paralyzing resistance" amid the war in Ukraine, Pavlov said.Constant fear of persecution doesn't mix with a capitalistic society, Portes says."The thing about capitalism — capitalism has its defects for sure — but it works because it gives incentives to people to take risks," he said. "The circumstances of a country that's like what Russia is right now, the incentive to take risks, there is a strong disincentive".Other experts have noted that Russia looks to be <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/russia-economy-ukraine-war-tech-reverse-industrialization-central-bank-finland-2023-3">drifting away</a> from a capitalist structure, particularly as it boosts public spending to fund its war efforts in Ukraine.Previously, Portes predicted that Russia was on its way to being reduced to a "<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-outlook-ukraine-war-worker-shortage-population-brain-drain-2024-8">natural resource economy</a>." That could lead to a lower quality of life for Russians, he predicted, hitting the nation with sluggish economic growth and a decline in everything from education to medical care.Moscow's economy isn't necessarily at risk of collapse, thanks to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-ukraine-war-moscow-military-spending-inflation-worker-shortage-2024-2">hefty government spending on the war</a>, Portes says, though he still sees a dark economic future ahead of the nation."It's a disaster. We have plenty of examples in history where a war economy can keep on going, even though everything is crumbling around it. And I think that's what you have now," he added.

How national security panics in Russia could stifle innovation and hurt its economy

<ul class="summary-list"><li>TikTok and its owner sought to hire hundreds of Chinese staff in 2023, Business Insider has learned.</li><li>669 of the 1,089 approved US H-1B hires for TikTok and ByteDance in that fiscal year were from China.</li></ul>TikTok didn't shy away from hiring employees from China last year, even as US officials accused the app of being a national security risk because its owner, ByteDance, is headquartered in Beijing.Of the roughly 1,000 non-US employees that TikTok and ByteDance sought to hire for its US teams via H-1B visa applications between October 2022 and September 2023, most were from China.Companies use the H-1B program to hire foreign workers who have business skills that they say they cannot otherwise obtain from the existing US workforce.Six hundred and sixty-nine of the 1,089 approved H-1B hires for TikTok and ByteDance last fiscal year were from China, a 50% increase from the previous year, according to US Citizenship and Immigration Services data obtained by Business Insider via a Freedom of Information Act request. The federal government's fiscal year runs from October through September.Fourteen of those 669 approved hires were recruited to work under TikTok's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tiktok-us-user-data-storage-project-texas-privacy-security-2023-3">US Data Security Division</a>, or USDS, a section of the company dedicated to keeping US user data out of the hands of the Chinese Communist Party and other actors that the US government has deemed a foreign adversary. Those roles included work in data science, fraud strategy, systems analysis, and software engineering.While TikTok is by far ByteDance's most popular app in the US, the company does operate other platforms such as its Pinterest-like app <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tiktok-owner-bytedance-hiring-influencers-boost-lemon8-app-2024-1">Lemon8</a>, which some H-1B hires may have been tasked with working on.TikTok and ByteDance's 50% year-over-year jump in approved H-1B applications for Chinese nationals came despite US Senator Tom Cotton raising concerns about having "foreign individuals work at ByteDance and TikTok's offices in California.""Given the security concerns with TikTok and the company's repeated statements about 'US-based' teams and data centers, having hundreds of foreign nationals working in those offices presents another potential threat," Cotton <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/foia/H-1B_visa_use-Senator_Cotton.pdf">wrote</a> in a November 2022 letter to Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas.TikTok and ByteDance did not respond to requests for comment.Using the H-1B program to recruit talent from China isn't unusual on its own. Among applications for H-1B visas across all companies in fiscal year 2023, it was the second most common country of origin, per data published by the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" class="c-link" href="https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/OLA_Signed_H-1B_Characteristics_Congressional_Report_FY2023.pdf">USCIS</a>. But TikTok and ByteDance's H-1B recruiting efforts dramatically over-indexed toward China. Only 12% of all approved fiscal year 2023 H-1B applications were for Chinese nationals, compared to 61% of TikTok and ByteDance's approved applications.India ranked second among countries where TikTok and ByteDance earned H-1B approvals in fiscal year 2023, followed by Taiwan, Canada, and Vietnam.<h2 id="652509fc-c542-496a-8661-64a16854f5a3">Why TikTok is recruiting talent from China</h2>TikTok has been under heavy scrutiny for years due to its owner's roots in China. US officials have <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/fcc-tiktok-letter-experts-say-ban-unlikely-despite-political-pressure-2022-7">raised concerns</a> that ByteDance could be compelled to hand over TikTok's US user data to the Chinese government in order to comply with a National Intelligence Law. Some have worried that TikTok could be used as a propaganda tool to further the CCP's interests.In April, Congress passed a <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/senate-passes-tiktok-ban-2024-4">law</a> that gave ByteDance a deadline for divesting TikTok's US assets. If it fails to do so, TikTok could be removed from US app stores in January. TikTok is challenging the law in court, but legal experts previously told BI it's <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tiktok-justice-department-federal-appeals-court-law-ban-expert-2024-9">not looking promising for the company</a>. President-elect Trump pledged on the campaign trail to "<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-block-tiktok-ban-legal-experts-2024-11">never ban TikTok</a>," but his paths to rescuing the app are limited.TikTok has previously said it does not share information with the Chinese government, and that its content moderation efforts are run by a US-based team that "operates independently from China."While it may not be politically advantageous for TikTok to recruit talent from China, it makes sense given the company operates closely with its parent ByteDance.Even as TikTok has taken steps to <a target="_blank" href="https://gizmodo.com/tiktok-master-messaging-pr-playbook-china-music-1849334736">downplay its association with China</a>, its owner, ByteDance, continues to operate in the US. Current and former TikTok employees <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tiktok-employees-say-staff-in-china-make-many-product-decisions-2021-12">told BI in 2021</a> that final product decisions for TikTok were often made by ByteDance staffers in Beijing. And TikTok staffers are asked to adhere to core workplace values it calls "<a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tiktok-employees-bytedance-bytestyles-used-to-reward-and-reprimand-2021-9">ByteStyles</a>."The company has also used TikTok's Chinese sister app, Douyin, as a testing ground for features that <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/whats-next-for-tiktok-look-at-china-douyin-2022-1">ultimately end up on TikTok</a>. Recently, the company has matched vendors with expertise in <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tiktok-shop-us-partner-summit-live-shopping-and-douyin-ruled-2024-10">e-commerce in China</a> to its US partners that work with sellers and influencers on its social-shopping feature, TikTok Shop. Several of its approved 2023 H-1B applications for Chinese nationals were for roles in e-commerce, including a creator manager role focused on live shopping and software engineering roles tied to shopping ads.

TikTok and its owner ramped up their hiring of Chinese employees, even as Congress raised national security concerns

<ul class="summary-list"><li>Vice President Harris and former President Trump remain locked in a tight contest ahead of November.</li><li>Harris leads in two new national polls, while both candidates were tied in a third survey.</li></ul>With less than a month before the November general election, <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/silicon-valley-billionaires-investors-kamala-harris-mark-cuban-reid-hoffman-2024-8">Vice President Kamala Harris</a> and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-donald-trump-rally-butler-pennsylvania-assassination-attempt-2024-10">former President Donald Trump</a> are barnstorming the major swing states as they aim to rev up their respective bases and sway undecided voters.The <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/battleground-states-2024-presidential-election-road-white-house-2022-12">presidential election</a> will be decided in battlegrounds like Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, but national polls can also point to larger electoral trends.One thing is certain: The race remains incredibly close.Of the three major national polls released on Sunday, Harris retained an edge in two surveys while both candidates were tied in another.In the latest <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-harris-poll-how-information-beliefs-shape-tight-2024-campaign/">CBS News/YouGov poll</a>, Harris had a three-point lead over Trump (51% to 48%) among likely voters. And Harris also led in a new <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/economic-discontent-issue-divisions-add-tight-presidential-contest/story?id=114723390">ABC News/Ipsos poll</a> by two points (50% to 48%) among likely voters.But Harris and Trump were tied in the latest <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/dead-heat-trump-pulls-even-harris-nbc-news-poll-rcna174201">NBC News survey</a> (48% to 48%) among registered voters, with the former president <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/poll-newly-popular-harris-challenging-trump-change-rcna171308">erasing a five-point lead</a> for the vice president last month.What do these results say about where the race is headed?<h2 id="82c30d6e-fd0c-4c65-8191-7e31571f5194">The economy remains key</h2>One constant in the presidential race is the importance of economic issues in voters' minds.While the unemployment rate is significantly lower than four years ago, inflation has been a recurring issue for Americans.The economy has consistently been one of Trump's strongest issues. Had President Joe Biden remained the Democratic nominee, the former president's advantage on the issue might have been too much for Biden to overcome in states like <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-immigration-border-security-arizona-trump-swing-voters-2024-8">Arizona</a> and Nevada.But after Biden stepped aside as the presumptive nominee in July, Harris' entry into the race upended the election and allowed Democrats to reframe their economic message independent of the president.In several swing-state polls, Harris has had some success in pulling closer to Trump on <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/harris-trump-blue-wall-economic-message-unions-michigan-pennsylvania-wisconsin-2024-10">the economy</a>.However, the three polls showed that Trump retained an economic advantage.In the NBC poll, Trump had an eleven-point lead over Harris (50% to 39%) on which candidate would best handle inflation and cost of living issues.Meanwhile, respondents in the ABC poll gave Trump an eight-point edge on the economy (46% to 38%) and a seven-point lead on tackling inflation (44% to 37%). However, in the ABC poll, Harris had a five-point advantage (42% to 37%) over Trump regarding which candidate would look out for middle-class Americans.<a target="_blank" href="https://affiliate.insider.com?h=982fc282ae574da29344163d4b9635f2e2200c89c1c6539a03873787497d6994&amp;postID=670bec12e5b540830055031c&amp;postSlug=harris-trump-national-polls-election-2024-10&amp;site=bi&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.scribd.com%2Fdocument%2F779428302%2Fcbsnews-20241013-SUN">In the CBS poll</a>, though, 67% of respondents said that prices on items they purchase have increased in recent months, while only 6% said that prices have declined. But Trump has zeroed in on this issue throughout his campaign.Both candidates — especially Harris — will continue emphasizing <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/what-us-economy-would-look-like-with-trump-biden-presidency-2024-5">economic matters</a> in the weeks ahead.<h2 id="bf4ca264-83a5-4c73-8928-f048c0430b04">Who's the change candidate?</h2>Despite having already served as president, Trump is running as a change candidate — touting conservative stances that would be a stark reversal from those of the Biden administration on issues ranging from immigration to <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-sets-record-most-federal-court-judicial-confirmations-since-jfk-2022-8">judicial appointments</a>.Harris is also running as a change candidate. She's been more forceful than Biden in articulating her views on issues like reproductive rights and <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-arizona-mexico-border-security-immigration-trump-election-2024-9">border security</a>.On most issues, Trump has sought to tie Harris to Biden at every turn.But so far, she has retained an edge — albeit narrow — on which candidate would represent change.In the NBC News poll, Harris had a five-point lead over Trump on which candidate represented change (45% to 40%). The figure marks a small decline from her nine-point edge in September (47% to 38%).With many voters seeking a candidate who'll shake things up from the Biden years, it's significant that Harris retains an advantage on the issue even though her overall lead in the NBC poll slipped. For many voters — especially young voters concerned over the economy and the <a target="_blank" class="" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/israel-military-superiority-lacks-strategic-vision-iran-lebanon-gaza-war-2024-10">conflict in Gaza</a> — the "change" factor remains critical.

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